江西省九江市2017—2022年居民慢性阻塞性肺疾病死亡情况及潜在减寿变化趋势

付继玲, 李洁, 孙亚明, 王亚丹, 伍玥然

安徽预防医学杂志 ›› 2025, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (3) : 208-212.

PDF(804 KB)
PDF(804 KB)
安徽预防医学杂志 ›› 2025, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (3) : 208-212. DOI: 10.19837/j.cnki.ahyf.2025.03.007
论著

江西省九江市2017—2022年居民慢性阻塞性肺疾病死亡情况及潜在减寿变化趋势

作者信息 +

Trend in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease death and potential life reduction among residents in Jiujiang City,Jiangxi Province from 2017 to 2022

Author information +
文章历史 +

摘要

目的 了解江西省九江市2017—2022年居民慢性阻塞性肺疾病(简称慢阻肺)死亡情况及潜在减寿变化趋势,为制定相关防控措施提供科学依据。方法 收集九江市居民2017—2022年慢阻肺死亡病例资料,计算慢阻肺死亡率、标化死亡率、早死概率、潜在减寿年数(PYLL)、潜在减寿率(PYLLR)和年度变化百分比(APC)等指标,采用SPSS 10.0和Joinpoint 4.9.0.0进行统计分析。结果 2017—2022年九江市居民慢阻肺死亡14 578例,粗死亡率为84.29/10万,标化死亡率为65.17/10万,男性(APC=5.520%,P=0.023)和全人群(APC=4.172%,P=0.046)标化死亡率均呈上升趋势。慢阻肺早死概率在0.49%~0.69%之间波动(APC=-1.924%,P=0.612)。九江市居民慢阻肺PYLL为11 476人年,PYLLR为0.66‰(APC=2.701%,P=0.440),男性PYLLR为0.96‰(APC=3.385%,P=0.266),女性PYLLR为0.38‰(APC=0.648%,P=0.914)。结论 2017—2022年九江市居民慢阻肺标化死亡率呈上升趋势,慢阻肺疾病负担较重。应重点关注男性和老年人群,采取针对性的措施降低慢阻肺的死亡率,减轻疾病负担。

Abstract

Objective To understand the mortality rate and potential trend of life loss caused by chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in Jiujiang City,Jiangxi Province from 2017 to 2022,and to provide a scientific basis for the formulation of relevant prevention and control measures. Methods Data on deaths caused by COPD among residents in Jiujiang City from 2017 to 2022 were collected,and indicators such as COPD mortality rate,standardized mortality rate,premature death probability,potential years of life lost (PYLL),potential life loss rate (PYLLR),and annual percentage change (APC) were calculated.SPSS 10.0 and Joinpoint 4.9.0.0 were used for statistical analysis. Results From 2017 to 2022,there were 14 578 COPD deaths among Jiujiang residents,with a crude mortality rate of 84.29/100 000 and a standardized mortality rate of 65.17/100 000.The standardized mortality rate of males (APC=5.520%,P=0.023) and whole population (APC=4.172%,P=0.046) showed an increasing trend.The probability of premature death from COPD fluctuated between 0.49% and 0.69% (APC=-1.924%,P=0.612).The PYLL of residents with COPD in Jiujiang City was 11 476 person-years,with a PYLLR of 0.66‰ (APC=2.701%,P=0.440).The PYLLR of males was 0.96‰ (APC=3.385%,P=0.266),and the PYLLR of females was 0.38‰ (APC=0.648%,P=0.914). Conclusion From 2017 to 2022, the standardized mortality rate of COPD among Jiujiang residents showed an increasing trend,indicating a heavy disease burden of COPD.It is necessary to focus on male and elderly population, adopt targeted measures to reduce the mortality rate of COPD, and alleviate the disease burden.

关键词

慢性阻塞性肺疾病 / 死亡率 / 潜在寿命损失年 / 趋势分析

Key words

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease / Mortality / Potential years of life lost / Trend analysis

引用本文

导出引用
付继玲, 李洁, 孙亚明, . 江西省九江市2017—2022年居民慢性阻塞性肺疾病死亡情况及潜在减寿变化趋势[J]. 安徽预防医学杂志. 2025, 31(3): 208-212 https://doi.org/10.19837/j.cnki.ahyf.2025.03.007
FU Jiling, LI Jie, SUN Yaming, et al. Trend in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease death and potential life reduction among residents in Jiujiang City,Jiangxi Province from 2017 to 2022[J]. Anhui Journal of Preventive Medicine. 2025, 31(3): 208-212 https://doi.org/10.19837/j.cnki.ahyf.2025.03.007
中图分类号: R195.4   

参考文献

[1]
Celli B, Fabbri L, Criner G, et al. Definition andnomenclature of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease:time for its revision[J]. Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 2022, 206(11):1317-1325.
[2]
Yin P, Wu J, Wang L, et al. Theburden of COPD in China and its provinces:findings from the global burden of disease study 2019[J]. Front Public Health, 2022, 10:859499.
In China, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) was accounted for a quarter of the global COPD population and has become a large economic burden. However, the comprehensive picture of the COPD burden, which could inform health policy, is not readily available for all of the provinces of China. Here, we aimed to describe the burden of COPD in China, providing an up-to-date and comprehensive analysis at the national and provincial levels, and time trends from 1990 to 2019. Following the methodology framework and general analytical strategies used in the GBD 2019, we analyzed the incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and years with life lost (YLLs) attributable to COPD across China and the corresponding time trends from 1990 to 2019, stratified by age and province. In order to quantify the secular trends of the burden of COPD, the estimated annual percentage changes were calculated by the linear regression model of age-standardized rates (ASRs) and calendar years. We also presented the contribution of risk factors to COPD-related mortality and DALYs. The association between COPD burden and socio-demographic index (SDI) were also evaluated. From 1990 to 2019, the incidence and prevalence numbers of COPD increased by 61.2 and 67.8%, respectively, whereas the number of deaths and DALYs owing to COPD decreased. The ASRs of COPD burden, including incidence, prevalence, mortality, DALYs, YLDs, and YLLs continuously decreased from 1990 to 2019. The crude rates of COPD burden dramatically increased with age and reached a peak in the older than 95 years age group. In 2019, the leading risk factor for COPD mortality and DALYs was tobacco use in the whole population, but ambient particulate matter pollution was the most significant risk factor in females. At the provincial level, the ASRs of COPD burden was significantly associated with the SDIs, with the highest ASRs in the western provinces with low SDIs. Collectively, our study indicated that COPD remains an important public health problem in China. Geographically targeted considerations should be developed to enhance COPD health and reduce the COPD burden throughout China and in specific provinces.
[3]
Fang X, Wang X, Bai C. COPD in China:the burden and importance of proper management[J]. Chest, 2011, 139(4):920-929.
[4]
Wang C, Xu J, Yang L, et al. Prevalence and risk factors of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in China (the China Pulmonary Health[CPH]study):a national cross-sectional study[J]. Lancet, 2018, 391(10131):1706-1717.
[5]
WHO. Global status report on noncommunicable diseases 2014[M]. Geneva: World Health Organization, 2014: 137-138.
[6]
薛天怡, 刘世友, 万金豹, 等. 2010—2019年上海市宝山区居民慢性阻塞性肺疾病死亡情况分析[J]. 上海预防医学, 2022, 34(3):256-259.
[7]
中国疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病预防控制中心. 人口死因监测工作指导手册[M]. 北京: 中国人口出版社, 2017:3-112.
[8]
李香荷, 罗青, 唐娜, 等. 1990—2019年中国慢性阻塞性肺疾病死亡负担及变化情况分析[J]. 中国循环杂志, 2023, 38(6):681-686.
[9]
邓淦元, 陈莹, 缪秋菊, 等. 2015—2019年云南省慢性阻塞性肺疾病死亡变化趋势及空间自相关分析[J]. 社区医学杂志, 2023, 21(2):57-61.
[10]
朱瑶, 颜玮, 赵军, 等. 2015—2021年江西省慢性呼吸系统疾病死亡情况及变化趋势[J]. 环境卫生学杂志, 2023, 13(8):624-628+634.
[11]
沈腊梅, 陆艳, 黄春妍, 等. 苏州市2011—2020年居民慢性阻塞性肺疾病死亡特征及早死寿命分析[J]. 安徽预防医学杂志, 2023, 29(1):29-32+38.
[12]
万秋萍, 熊建菁, 褚晓婷, 等. 2017年上海市静安区居民COPD的健康损失及其吸烟归因负担分析[J]. 环境与职业医学, 2021, 38(7):725-732.
[13]
闫爱军, 刘诚, 邓力琛, 等. 九江市城区与庐山背景站点PM2.5和O3的差异特征分析[J]. 环境科学学报, 2024, 44(4):227-237.
[14]
郭雯雯, 陈永金, 刘阁, 等. 2016—2019年长江中游城市群空气质量时空变化特征及影响因素分析[J]. 生态环境学报, 2020, 29(10):2034-2044.
可下载PDF全文。
[15]
曹钰, 楼晟荣, 王茜, 等. 长三角区域性PM2.5污染的空间分型及其大气环流特征研究[J]. 环境科学学报, 2021, 41(5):1665-1679.
[16]
Wang N, Lyu X, Deng X, et al. AggravatingO3 pollution due to NOx emission control in Eastern China[J]. Sci Total Environ, 2019, 677:732-744.
During the past five years, China has witnessed a rapid drop of nitrogen oxides (NOx) owing to the wildly-applied rigorous emission control strategies across the country. However, ozone (O-3) pollution was found to steadily deteriorate in most part of eastern China, especially in developed regions such as Jing-jin-Ji (JJJ), Yangtze River Delta region (YRD) and Pearl River Delta region (PRD). To shed more light on current O-3 pollution and its responses to precursor emissions, we integrate satellite retrievals, ground-based measurements together with regional numerical simulation in this study. It is indicated by multiple sets of observational data that NOx in eastern China has dedined more than 25% from 2012 to 2016. Based on chemical transport modeling, we find that O-3 formation in eastern China has changed from volatile organic compounds (VOCs) sensitive regime to the mixed sensitive regime due to NOx, reductions, substantially contributing to the recent increasing trend in urban O-3. In addition, such transitions tend to bring about an similar to 1-1.5 h earlier peak of net O-3 formation rate. We further studied the O-3 precursors relationships by conducting tens of sensitivity simulations to explore potential ways for effective O(3 )mitigation. It is suggested that the past control measures that only focused on NOx may not work or even aggravate O-3 pollution in the city clusters. In practice, O-3 pollution in the three regions is expected to be effectively mitigated only when the reduction ratio of VOCs/NOx is greater than 2:1, indicating VOCs-targeted control is a more practical and feasible way. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V.
[17]
丁贤彬, 唐文革, 毛德强, 等. 慢性病综合防控示范区建设对主要慢性病早死概率的影响[J]. 中国慢性病预防与控制, 2018, 26(1):1-4.
[18]
Gayle AV, Axson EL, Bloom CI, et al. Changing causes of death for patients with chronic respiratory disease in England,2005-2015[J]. Thorax, 2019, 74(5):483-491.
[19]
Easter M, Bollenbecker S, Barnes JW, et al. Targetingaging pathways in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease[J]. Int J Mol Sci, 2020, 21(18):6924.
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has become a global epidemic and is the third leading cause of death worldwide. COPD is characterized by chronic airway inflammation, loss of alveolar-capillary units, and progressive decline in lung function. Major risk factors for COPD are cigarette smoking and aging. COPD-associated pathomechanisms include multiple aging pathways such as telomere attrition, epigenetic alterations, altered nutrient sensing, mitochondrial dysfunction, cell senescence, stem cell exhaustion and chronic inflammation. In this review, we will highlight the current literature that focuses on the role of age and aging-associated signaling pathways as well as their impact on current treatment strategies in the pathogenesis of COPD. Furthermore, we will discuss established and experimental COPD treatments including senolytic and anti-aging therapies and their potential use as novel treatment strategies in COPD.
[20]
孔德慧, 范中杰. 慢性阻塞性肺疾病与空气污染相关性研究进展[J]. 中国公共卫生, 2021, 37(9):1438-1442.
[21]
韩梦琦, 朱文鹏, 邹云飞. 1990—2019年中国慢性阻塞性肺疾病死亡趋势及其年龄-时期-队列分析[J]. 山东第一医科大学(山东省医学科学院)学报, 2023, 44(6):424-429.
[22]
秦国双, 温昊于, 宇传华. 中国COPD的患病发病及YLD现状及趋势[J]. 公共卫生与预防医学, 2019, 30(2):4-8.
[23]
包鹤龄, 方利文, 王临虹. 1990—2014年中国40岁及以上人群慢性阻塞性肺疾病患病率Meta分析[J]. 中华流行病学杂志, 2016, 37(1):119-124.
[24]
陶凤然, 樊娜, 蒋云雯, 等. 1997—2017年中国人群慢性阻塞性肺病疾病负担趋势分析[J]. 中国慢性病预防与控制, 2020, 28(1):3-9.
[25]
邱桦, 阮晓楠, 周先锋, 等. 上海市浦东新区社区医生慢性阻塞性肺疾病认知情况调查[J]. 上海预防医学, 2018, 30(9):750-754.
[26]
Zhang G, Zhan J, Fu H. Trends insmoking prevalence and intensity between 2010 and 2018:implications for tobacco control in China[J]. Int J Environ Res Public Health, 2022, 19(2):670.
Background: China is the world’s largest producer and consumer of cigarettes. Since 2010, the Chinese government has implemented many policies to combat the tobacco epidemic, yet little is known about their overall impacts. This study aims to investigate the trends in smoking prevalence and intensity between 2010 and 2018. Methods: We use five waves of data from China Family Panel Studies (CFPS), a nationally representative survey, to examine the trends in smoking prevalence and intensity. We use the chi-square test and t-test to examine differences across waves. Binary logistic regressions and linear regressions are applied to examine the association between smoking behaviors and risk factors. Results: The current smoking prevalence dropped from 30.30% in 2010 (90% CI 29.47–31.31) to 28.69% (90% CI 27.69–29.69) in 2018. As for smoking intensity, the average daily cigarettes consumption decreased steadily from 16.96 cigarettes (90% CI 16.55–17.36) in 2010 to 15.12 cigarettes (90% CI 15.07–15.94) in 2018. Smoking risk factors for men included marriage status, education level, employment status, alcohol consumption, and physical activities. The smoking risk was higher for women with a lower education level, lower household income, unemployment status, and alcohol consumption behavior. Conclusions: Our study shows declined trends in both smoking prevalence and intensity between 2010 and 2018, suggesting some positive progress in tobacco control in China. Nonetheless, to achieve the goal of reducing smoking prevalence among people aged 15 and above to less than 20% by 2030, the Chinese government needs to take stronger anti-tobacco measures.
[27]
罗文婷, 林艺兰. 厦门市慢性阻塞性肺疾病死亡率的影响因素[J]. 职业与健康, 2016, 32(10):1376-1378.
[28]
Patil SP, Krishnan JA, Lechtzin N, et al. In-hospital mortality following acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease[J]. Arch Intern Med, 2003, 163(10):1180-1186.
Acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are a frequent cause of hospitalization in the United States. Previous studies of selected populations of patients with COPD have estimated in-hospital mortality to range from 4% to 30%. Our objective was to obtain a generalizable estimate of in-hospital mortality from acute exacerbation of COPD in the United States and to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality using administrative data.We performed a cross-sectional study utilizing the 1996 Nationwide Inpatient Sample, a data set of all hospitalizations from a 20% sample of nonfederal US hospitals. The study population included 71 130 patients aged 40 years or older with an acute exacerbation of COPD at hospital discharge. The primary outcome assessed was in-hospital mortality.In-hospital mortality for patients with an acute exacerbation of COPD was 2.5%. Multivariable analyses identified older age, male sex, higher income, nonroutine admission sources, and more comorbid conditions as independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality.Mortality during hospitalization in this nationwide sample of patients with acute exacerbations of COPD was lower than that of previous studies of select populations. This estimate should provide optimism to both clinicians and patients regarding prognoses from COPD exacerbations requiring hospitalization. Our results indicate that the use of administrative data can help to identify subsets of patients with acute exacerbations of COPD that are at higher risk of in-hospital mortality.
[29]
GBD Chronic Respiratory Disease Collaborators. Global,regional,and national deaths,prevalence,disability-adjusted life years,and years lived with disability for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma,1990-2015:a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015[J]. Lancet Respir Med, 2017, 5(9):691-706.

PDF(804 KB)

Accesses

Citation

Detail

段落导航
相关文章

/