Study on the correlation between the concentration of atmospheric particulate matter and the incidence of influenza-like illness

CAO Ming-hua; XU Yan-long; HOU Sai; ZHU Meng; MA Li

doi:10.19837/j.cnki.ahyf.2021.03.002

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Anhui Journal of Preventive Medicine ›› 2021, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (3) : 179-182. DOI: 10.19837/j.cnki.ahyf.2021.03.002

Study on the correlation between the concentration of atmospheric particulate matter and the incidence of influenza-like illness

CAO Ming-hua, XU Yan-long, HOU Sai, ZHU Meng, MA Li

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Abstract

Objective To investigate the influence of atmospheric particulate matter concentration on the incidence of influenza-like illness (ILI ) in Hefei City. Methods The number of ILI and atmospheric particulate matter (PM_2.5,PM₁₀) in Hefei City during 2014—2017 were monitored.The distributied lag nonlinear model was used to analyze their relationship and lag effect. Results The incidence of ILI was positively correlated with PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ (r=0.10,P<0.001) and negatively correlated with humidity (r=- 0.09,P=0.001).The concentration of PM_2.5 had a significant effect on the 3-day and 4-day lag of influenza like illness.The excess mortality risk (ER) was 0.115% (95% CI:0.016-1.002) and 0.116% (95% CI:0.002-1.002).In the air double pollutant model,there was no statistical significance in the performance of the model after the inclusion of other gaseous pollutants. Conclusion PM_2.5 may be an important factor in the occurrence of ILI.

Key words

Influenza-like illness / Distributed lag non-linear model / PM_2.5 / PM₁₀

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CAO Ming-hua, XU Yan-long, HOU Sai, ZHU Meng, MA Li. Study on the correlation between the concentration of atmospheric particulate matter and the incidence of influenza-like illness[J]. Anhui Journal of Preventive Medicine. 2021, 27(3): 179-182 https://doi.org/10.19837/j.cnki.ahyf.2021.03.002

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